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Nordic T20 Cup · 2025 · Men
14 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Norway more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Finland started on 21%; Finland batted first.
Finland's chances ranged from 2% to 98% during the match (Norway: 2% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walid Ghauribowled · Amjad Sher 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Amjad Sher | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan O'Brien · b Amjad Sher | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| D Abeyrathnacaught · Amjad Sher · NM Salonen 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amjad Sher · b NM Salonen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
| Ibrahim Rahimicaught · E Kuchey · Amjad Sher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · E Kuchey · b Amjad Sher | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Vishal Sharma (2)bowled · NM Salonen 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b NM Salonen | 6 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 54.55 |
| Faisal Razacaught · Jordan O'Brien · Amjad Sher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan O'Brien · b Amjad Sher | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Qamar Mushtaquerun out · AK Mohan, Amjad Sher · Amjad Sher 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · AK Mohan, Amjad Sher | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ahmadullah Shinwarinot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 34* | 36 | 2 | 1 | 94.44 |
|---|
| Vinay Ravicaught · E Kuchey · Akhil Arjunan 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · E Kuchey · b Akhil Arjunan | 24 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 92.31 |
|---|
| AJ Parmarrun out · E Kuchey · A Pusthay 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · E Kuchey | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Mansoor Shahrun out · E Kuchey · Akhil Arjunan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · E Kuchey | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amjad Sher1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| NM Salonen0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| A Pusthay0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 1 |
| E Kuchey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Akhil Arjunan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 3.43 | 0 | 0 |
| PUKK Arachchige0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Walid Ghauri, 0.3) · 2-12 (D Abeyrathna, 1.2) · 3-18 (Ibrahim Rahimi, 2.4) · 4-27 (Vishal Sharma (2), 5.1) · 5-28 (Faisal Raza, 6.1) · 6-28 (Qamar Mushtaque, 6.2) · 7-28 (Khizer Ahmed, 6.3) · 8-77 (Vinay Ravi, 15.5) · 9-78 (AJ Parmar, 16.2) · 10-89 (Mansoor Shah, 17.2)
Recorded target: 101 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 11 | 18/2 |
| 3 | 1 | 19/3 |
| 4 | 4 | 23/3 |
| 5 | 4 | 27/3 |
| 6 | 1 | 28/4 |
| 7 | 0 | 28/7 |
| 8 | 5 | 33/7 |
| 9 | 1 | 34/7 |
| 10 | 3 | 37/7 |
| 11 | 9 | 46/7 |
| 12 | 5 | 51/7 |
| 13 | 4 | 55/7 |
| 14 | 10 | 65/7 |
| 15 | 9 | 74/7 |
| 16 | 3 | 77/8 |
| 17 | 11 | 88/9 |
| 18 | 1 | 89/10 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.