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Sri Lanka tour of West Indies · 2026 · Men
25 Jun 2026 · Test
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua · Venue photographRecorded result
Sri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Campbellcaught · Nishan Madushka · Sonal Dinusha 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Nishan Madushka · b Sonal Dinusha | 39 | 64 | 3 | 2 | 60.94 |
| Brandon Kingcaught · Sonal Dinusha · Milan Priyanath 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sonal Dinusha · b Milan Priyanath | 31 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 59.62 |
| Kavem Hodgebowled · Milan Priyanath 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Milan Priyanath | 16 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 36.36 |
| Amir Jangoocaught · Kusal Mendis · Milan Priyanath 19 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Kusal Mendis · b Milan Priyanath | 233 | 373 | 19 | 3 | 62.47 |
 |
| caught · DPS Sooriyabandara · b Asitha Fernando |
| 20 |
| 56 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 35.71 |
| Justin Greavescaught · Kusal Mendis · Asitha Fernando 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kusal Mendis · b Asitha Fernando | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
|---|
 Roston Chasebowled · Sonal Dinusha13 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Sonal Dinusha | 194 | 324 | 13 | 2 | 59.88 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephcaught · Kusal Mendis · Milan Priyanath 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Kusal Mendis · b Milan Priyanath | 21 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 105.00 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 17* | 21 | 1 | 1 | 80.95 |
|---|
 Kemar Roachlbw · Milan Priyanath0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Milan Priyanath | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 25 · legbyes: 18 · wides: 6 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asitha Fernando8 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 28.0 | 8 | 56 | 2 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Lahiru Kumara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Kasun Rajitha3 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 26.0 | 3 | 102 | 0 | 3.92 | 4 | 0 |
| Milan Priyanath8 maidens · 1 wides · 3 no-balls | 35.5 | 8 | 124 | 5 | 3.46 | 1 | 3 |
| Sonal Dinusha1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 56.0 | 1 | 234 | 2 | 4.18 | 1 | 0 |
| Dhananjaya de Silva0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 3.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamindu Mendis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 5.11 | 0 | 0 |
1-58 (Brandon King, 13.3) · 2-97 (John Campbell, 25.2) · 3-102 (Kavem Hodge, 27.0) · 4-154 (Joshua Da Silva, 45.0) · 5-168 (Justin Greaves, 50.1) · 6-569 (Amir Jangoo, 150.3) · 7-599 (Alzarri Joseph, 154.5) · 8-625 (Roston Chase, 160.0) · 9-626 (Kemar Roach, 160.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 23/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 23/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 24/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 34/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 36/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 40/0 |
| 11 | 8 | 48/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 48/0 |
| 13 | 10 | 58/0 |
| 14 | 2 | 60/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 61/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 63/1 |
| 17 | 0 | 63/1 |
| 18 | 6 | 69/1 |
| 19 | 2 | 71/1 |
| 20 | 4 | 75/1 |
| 21 | 0 | 75/1 |
| 22 | 8 | 83/1 |
| 23 | 1 | 84/1 |
| 24 | 5 | 89/1 |
| 25 | 6 | 95/1 |
| 26 | 6 | 101/2 |
| 27 | 1 | 102/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 103/3 |
| 29 | 5 | 108/3 |
| 30 | 1 | 109/3 |
| 31 | 0 | 109/3 |
| 32 | 6 | 115/3 |
| 33 | 4 | 119/3 |
| 34 | 2 | 121/3 |
| 35 | 4 | 125/3 |
| 36 | 5 | 130/3 |
| 37 | 4 | 134/3 |
| 38 | 1 | 135/3 |
| 39 | 1 | 136/3 |
| 40 | 2 | 138/3 |
| 41 | 3 | 141/3 |
| 42 | 6 | 147/3 |
| 43 | 4 | 151/3 |
| 44 | 0 | 151/3 |
| 45 | 3 | 154/4 |
| 46 | 2 | 156/4 |
| 47 | 3 | 159/4 |
| 48 | 6 | 165/4 |
| 49 | 1 | 166/4 |
| 50 | 2 | 168/4 |
| 51 | 1 | 169/5 |
| 52 | 1 | 170/5 |
| 53 | 0 | 170/5 |
| 54 | 0 | 170/5 |
| 55 | 4 | 174/5 |
| 56 | 0 | 174/5 |
| 57 | 4 | 178/5 |
| 58 | 5 | 183/5 |
| 59 | 5 | 188/5 |
| 60 | 2 | 190/5 |
| 61 | 4 | 194/5 |
| 62 | 2 | 196/5 |
| 63 | 8 | 204/5 |
| 64 | 3 | 207/5 |
| 65 | 4 | 211/5 |
| 66 | 2 | 213/5 |
| 67 | 2 | 215/5 |
| 68 | 3 | 218/5 |
| 69 | 5 | 223/5 |
| 70 | 2 | 225/5 |
| 71 | 0 | 225/5 |
| 72 | 3 | 228/5 |
| 73 | 2 | 230/5 |
| 74 | 4 | 234/5 |
| 75 | 8 | 242/5 |
| 76 | 5 | 247/5 |
| 77 | 8 | 255/5 |
| 78 | 3 | 258/5 |
| 79 | 2 | 260/5 |
| 80 | 2 | 262/5 |
| 81 | 0 | 262/5 |
| 82 | 1 | 263/5 |
| 83 | 3 | 266/5 |
| 84 | 5 | 271/5 |
| 85 | 4 | 275/5 |
| 86 | 0 | 275/5 |
| 87 | 3 | 278/5 |
| 88 | 6 | 284/5 |
| 89 | 2 | 286/5 |
| 90 | 0 | 286/5 |
| 91 | 1 | 287/5 |
| 92 | 9 | 296/5 |
| 93 | 1 | 297/5 |
| 94 | 1 | 298/5 |
| 95 | 1 | 299/5 |
| 96 | 4 | 303/5 |
| 97 | 0 | 303/5 |
| 98 | 9 | 312/5 |
| 99 | 4 | 316/5 |
| 100 | 6 | 322/5 |
| 101 | 6 | 328/5 |
| 102 | 2 | 330/5 |
| 103 | 2 | 332/5 |
| 104 | 1 | 333/5 |
| 105 | 1 | 334/5 |
| 106 | 4 | 338/5 |
| 107 | 9 | 347/5 |
| 108 | 6 | 353/5 |
| 109 | 3 | 356/5 |
| 110 | 4 | 360/5 |
| 111 | 5 | 365/5 |
| 112 | 3 | 368/5 |
| 113 | 3 | 371/5 |
| 114 | 10 | 381/5 |
| 115 | 2 | 383/5 |
| 116 | 2 | 385/5 |
| 117 | 2 | 387/5 |
| 118 | 3 | 390/5 |
| 119 | 3 | 393/5 |
| 120 | 4 | 397/5 |
| 121 | 8 | 405/5 |
| 122 | 3 | 408/5 |
| 123 | 8 | 416/5 |
| 124 | 4 | 420/5 |
| 125 | 3 | 423/5 |
| 126 | 3 | 426/5 |
| 127 | 7 | 433/5 |
| 128 | 2 | 435/5 |
| 129 | 12 | 447/5 |
| 130 | 12 | 459/5 |
| 131 | 4 | 463/5 |
| 132 | 5 | 468/5 |
| 133 | 7 | 475/5 |
| 134 | 9 | 484/5 |
| 135 | 2 | 486/5 |
| 136 | 6 | 492/5 |
| 137 | 4 | 496/5 |
| 138 | 6 | 502/5 |
| 139 | 4 | 506/5 |
| 140 | 4 | 510/5 |
| 141 | 4 | 514/5 |
| 142 | 3 | 517/5 |
| 143 | 2 | 519/5 |
| 144 | 6 | 525/5 |
| 145 | 13 | 538/5 |
| 146 | 6 | 544/5 |
| 147 | 7 | 551/5 |
| 148 | 3 | 554/5 |
| 149 | 3 | 557/5 |
| 150 | 5 | 562/5 |
| 151 | 16 | 578/6 |
| 152 | 7 | 585/6 |
| 153 | 5 | 590/6 |
| 154 | 8 | 598/6 |
| 155 | 1 | 599/7 |
| 156 | 2 | 601/7 |
| 157 | 3 | 604/7 |
| 158 | 12 | 616/7 |
| 159 | 3 | 619/7 |
| 160 | 6 | 625/8 |
| 161 | 1 | 626/9 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kasun Rajitha: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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