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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
18 Jul 2025 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 45%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 0% to 74% during the match (Kent: 26% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Luc Benkenstein · Matthew Critchley 11 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luc Benkenstein · b Matthew Critchley | 80 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 163.27 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · Michael-Kyle Pepper · Paul Walter2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael-Kyle Pepper · b Paul Walter | 13 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 92.86 |
 Harry Finchbowled · Mohammad Amir6 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Amir | 64 | 35 | 6 | 3 | 182.86 |
 Joe Denlynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Sam Billingsnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 11* | 4 | 0 | 1 | 275.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shane Snater0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 12.86 | 0 | 2 |
 Mohammad Amir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mackenzie Jones0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Critchley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Luc Benkenstein0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Simon Harmer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-46 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 5.2) · 2-160 (Tawanda Muyeye, 16.0) · 3-160 (Harry Finch, 16.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 45/0 |
| 6 | 14 | 59/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 67/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 73/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 79/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 84/1 |
| 11 | 19 | 103/1 |
| 12 | 17 | 120/1 |
| 13 | 12 | 132/1 |
| 14 | 10 | 142/1 |
| 15 | 14 | 156/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 160/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 161/3 |
| 18 | 12 | 173/3 |
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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