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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Africa Qualifier Group C · 2024/25 · Men
23 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Sierra Leone more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sierra Leone started on 72%; Sierra Leone batted first.
Sierra Leone's chances ranged from 73% to 100% during the match (Ivory Coast: 0% to 27%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Kainessiebowled · KY Wilfried 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b KY Wilfried | 37 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 154.17 |
| A Turaybowled · KMA Aziz 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b KMA Aziz | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Y Jallohnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 52* | 50 | 3 | 0 | 104.00 |
| George Edward Ngegbanot out 7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 72* | 44 | 7 | 1 | 163.64 |
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 12 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KMA Aziz0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls |
|---|
| 4.0 |
| 0 |
| 29 |
| 1 |
| 7.25 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| PK Dimitri0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| MC Alex0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| LKW Ezechiel0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 11.50 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| KY Wilfried0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
1-13 (A Turay, 1.0) · 2-74 (A Kainessie, 9.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 22/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 48/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 51/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 59/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 62/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 74/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 83/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 89/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 93/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 103/2 |
| 14 | 13 | 116/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 123/2 |
| 16 | 10 | 133/2 |
| 17 | 23 | 156/2 |
| 18 | 12 | 168/2 |
| 19 | 10 | 178/2 |
| 20 | 11 | 189/2 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.