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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Africa Qualifier Group C · 2024/25 · Men
23 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Sierra Leone more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sierra Leone started on 72%; Sierra Leone batted first.
Sierra Leone's chances ranged from 73% to 100% during the match (Ivory Coast: 0% to 27%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OK Mohamedbowled · George Edward Ngegba 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b George Edward Ngegba | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 7.69 |
| KY Wilfriedbowled · R Coker 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Coker | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 23.53 |
| MC Alexbowled · R Coker 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Coker | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
| KMA Azizbowled · R Coker 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Coker | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| D Issiakacaught · A Gbla · George Edward Ngegba 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Gbla · b George Edward Ngegba | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| M Ibrahimlbw · George Edward Ngegba0 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b George Edward Ngegba |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| K Nagnamabowled · George Edward Ngegba 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b George Edward Ngegba | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| DKJ Claudebowled · George Edward Ngegba 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b George Edward Ngegba | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| QF Djakaridjarun out · Y Jalloh, J Bangura · George Edward Ngegba 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Y Jalloh, J Bangura | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| LKW Ezechielstumped · J Bangura · R Coker 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · J Bangura · b R Coker | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| PK Dimitrinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Sesay1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
| S Conteh1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
| George Edward Ngegba0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 3.27 | 1 | 0 |
| R Coker0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-6 (OK Mohamed, 4.2) · 2-12 (KY Wilfried, 5.2) · 3-13 (MC Alex, 5.5) · 4-16 (D Issiaka, 6.5) · 5-17 (KMA Aziz, 7.2) · 6-17 (M Ibrahim, 8.1) · 7-17 (DKJ Claude, 8.3) · 8-18 (QF Djakaridja, 9.0) · 9-19 (LKW Ezechiel, 9.4) · 10-21 (K Nagnama, 10.4)
Recorded target: 190 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 12/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 13/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 16/4 |
| 8 | 1 | 17/5 |
| 9 | 1 | 18/8 |
| 10 | 2 | 20/9 |
| 11 | 1 | 21/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.