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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
12 Jun 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Glamorgan started on 45%; Glamorgan batted first.
Glamorgan's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Essex: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Rossingtoncaught · Colin Ingram · Timm van der Gugten1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Colin Ingram · b Timm van der Gugten | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Dean Elgarcaught and bowled · Daniel Douthwaite1 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Daniel Douthwaite | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 130.00 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Chris Cooke · Ned Leonard 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chris Cooke · b Ned Leonard | 15 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 166.67 |
| Jordan Coxcaught · Asa Tribe · BI Kellaway 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Asa Tribe · b BI Kellaway | 31 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 193.75 |
| caught · Daniel Douthwaite · b Mason Crane |
| 26 |
| 20 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 130.00 |
 Matthew Critchleybowled · Mason Crane0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mason Crane | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Luc Benkensteincaught · Colin Ingram · Andy Gorvin 6 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Colin Ingram · b Andy Gorvin | 62 | 32 | 6 | 4 | 193.75 |
|---|
 Simon Harmercaught · Andy Gorvin · BI Kellaway0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andy Gorvin · b BI Kellaway | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Shane Snatercaught · BI Kellaway · Mason Crane1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · BI Kellaway · b Mason Crane | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Sam Cookrun out · Asa Tribe · Andy Gorvin0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Asa Tribe | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Mohammad Amirnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timm van der Gugten0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ned Leonard0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Andy Gorvin0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 13.41 | 1 | 0 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| BI Kellaway0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Adam Rossington, 0.4) · 2-32 (Dean Elgar, 3.4) · 3-37 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 4.1) · 4-87 (Jordan Cox, 9.1) · 5-93 (Paul Walter, 10.3) · 6-94 (Matthew Critchley, 11.0) · 7-129 (Simon Harmer, 15.1) · 8-159 (Shane Snater, 17.3) · 9-180 (Sam Cook, 19.3) · 10-180 (Luc Benkenstein, 19.5)
Recorded target: 221 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 12 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 28/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 36/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 42/3 |
| 6 | 8 | 50/3 |
| 7 | 18 | 68/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 77/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 87/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 91/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 94/6 |
| 12 | 10 | 104/6 |
| 13 | 13 | 117/6 |
| 14 | 7 | 124/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 129/6 |
| 16 | 16 | 145/7 |
| 17 | 12 | 157/7 |
| 18 | 9 | 166/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 173/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 180/10 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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