MalaysiaversusThailand

31 May 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Thailand won by 9 wickets

Malaysia16.4 overs54/10 Thailand10.4 overs56/1 Bayuemas Oval, Kuala Lumpur ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Thailand more likely to win

10%Malaysia90%Thailand

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Thailand rate stronger than Malaysia (1,655 vs 1,377 on our results rating)
In the last 8 T20 internationals between these sides, Thailand won 8 and Malaysia won 0
Malaysia are playing at home in Malaysia

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Malaysia started on 10%; Malaysia batted first.

Malaysia’s chance of winning (%) · Thailand is the rest

Malaysia's chances ranged from 0% to 12% during the match (Thailand: 88% to 100%).

Biggest swings

3.1: T Putthawong to Ainna Hamizah Hashim, Ainna Hamizah Hashim out. Thailand up from 89% to 91%.
3.4: T Putthawong to Siow Tzin Yee, Siow Tzin Yee out. Thailand up from 91% to 93%.
16.4: S Laomi to Nur Qalysha, Nur Qalysha out. Thailand up from 97% to 99%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Malaysia54/10 Thailand56/1

Innings 2

Thailand

56/110.4 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Thailand batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Natthakan Chantamnot out 4 fours · 1 sixes	not out	41*	30	4	1	136.67
Aphisara Suwanchonrathicaught · Mahirah Ismail · Ainna Hamizah Hashim 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Mahirah Ismail · b Ainna Hamizah Hashim	2	11	0	0	18.18
Nannapat Koncharoenkainot out 0 fours · 0 sixes	not out	11*	23	0	0	47.83
Extras	byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0

Bowling
Bowler	Overs	M	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD

Nur Dania Syuhada0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	11	0	3.67	0
Ainna Hamizah Hashim0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	9	1	3.00	1
Aisya Eleesa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.4	22	0	8.25	0
Winifred Duraisingam0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	14	0	7.00	1

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	1	1/0
2	4	5/0
3	4	9/0
4	2	11/1
5	6	17/1
6	3	20/1
7	3	23/1
8	7	30/1
9	3	33/1
10	7	40/1
11	16	56/1

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