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Sweden tour of Indonesia · 2026 · Men
7 Apr 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Indonesia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 66%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 0% to 70% during the match (Sweden: 30% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imal Zuwakcaught · F Banunaek · Anjar Tadarus 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · F Banunaek · b Anjar Tadarus | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 113.04 |
| A Mundracaught · KB Tember · Danilson Hawoe 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · KB Tember · b Danilson Hawoe | 21 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 150.00 |
| Awais Ahmadcaught · F Banunaek · Gede Priandana 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · F Banunaek · b Gede Priandana | 21 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 161.54 |
| Saeed Ahmed (2)lbw · Gede Arta 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gede Arta | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| YS Chauhancaught · Gede Arta · Ketut Artawan 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Gede Arta · b Ketut Artawan | 10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 125.00 |
| not out |
| 25* |
| 17 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 147.06 |
| Zaid Ahmadcaught · Dhanesh Shetty · Sudhakar Jegannathan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhanesh Shetty · b Sudhakar Jegannathan | 9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
|---|
| A Dhabenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F Banunaek0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Dhanesh Shetty0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Danilson Hawoe0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Gede Priandana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Anjar Tadarus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Gede Arta0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Ketut Artawan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sudhakar Jegannathan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kavin Chaddha0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-32 (A Mundra, 3.3) · 2-63 (Awais Ahmad, 6.3) · 3-73 (Saeed Ahmed (2), 8.5) · 4-77 (Imal Zuwak, 9.3) · 5-96 (YS Chauhan, 11.3) · 6-116 (Zaid Ahmad, 14.5)
Recorded target: 126 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 19 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 41/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 51/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 63/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 65/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 70/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 73/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 81/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 88/4 |
| 12 | 11 | 99/5 |
| 13 | 2 | 101/5 |
| 14 | 13 | 114/5 |
| 15 | 2 | 116/6 |
| 16 | 11 | 127/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.