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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Asia Cup · 2026 · Women
7 Sept 2026 · T20
Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 57%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 58% to 100% during the match (Hong Kong: 0% to 42%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Mileslbw · Sadia Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sadia Iqbal | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Mariko Hillbowled · Fatima Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fatima Sana | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Y Daswanicaught and bowled · Nashra Sandhu 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nashra Sandhu | 13 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 72.22 |
| Kary Chanbowled · Ayesha Zafar 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ayesha Zafar | 30 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 63.83 |
| MBA Lamploughbowled · Nashra Sandhu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nashra Sandhu | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| M Bibicaught · Sadaf Shamas · Nashra Sandhu0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Sadaf Shamas · b Nashra Sandhu |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Shanzeen Shahzadcaught · Sadia Iqbal · Nashra Sandhu 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sadia Iqbal · b Nashra Sandhu | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| M Wai Siubowled · Nashra Sandhu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nashra Sandhu | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Iqra Saharbowled · Nashra Sandhu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nashra Sandhu | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Joyleen Kaurcaught · Gull Feroza · Umm-e-Hani 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gull Feroza · b Umm-e-Hani | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Ruchitha Venkateshnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 13 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Sana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Sadia Iqbal1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Umm-e-Hani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Nashra Sandhu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Tuba Hassan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayesha Zafar1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (Mariko Hill, 1.0) · 2-1 (Natasha Miles, 1.1) · 3-32 (Y Daswani, 8.3) · 4-38 (MBA Lamplough, 10.2) · 5-40 (M Bibi, 10.5) · 6-48 (Shanzeen Shahzad, 12.2) · 7-48 (M Wai Siu, 12.3) · 8-48 (Iqra Sahar, 13.0) · 9-55 (Kary Chan, 15.1) · 10-71 (Joyleen Kaur, 19.0)
Recorded target: 144 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | 5/2 |
| 4 | 10 | 15/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 17/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 28/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 30/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 31/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 33/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 38/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 40/5 |
| 12 | 7 | 47/5 |
| 13 | 1 | 48/8 |
| 14 | 4 | 52/8 |
| 15 | 3 | 55/8 |
| 16 | 0 | 55/9 |
| 17 | 2 | 57/9 |
| 18 | 7 | 64/9 |
| 19 | 7 | 71/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.