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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2023/24 · Men
22 Jan 2024 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 47%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 36% to 100% during the match (Wellington: 0% to 64%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Bowescaught · Muhammad Abbas · Peter Younghusband 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Abbas · b Peter Younghusband | 35 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 134.62 |
8 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Logan van Beek | 60 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 122.45 |
| Henry Nichollscaught · Ben Sears · Logan van Beek 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Sears · b Logan van Beek | 52 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 167.74 |
| Bevon Jacobsnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 11 | 3 | 0 | 172.73 |
| Cole McConchiecaught · Nick Kelly · Nathan Smith 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nick Kelly · b Nathan Smith |
| 5 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 125.00 |
| Mitchell Haynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 1 |
| Adam Milne0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Logan van Beek0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Sears0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Peter Younghusband0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-61 (Chad Bowes, 7.4) · 2-145 (Henry Nicholls, 17.1) · 3-152 (Tom Latham, 18.0) · 4-165 (Cole McConchie, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 25/0 |
| 5 | 15 | 40/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 52/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 59/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 63/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 66/1 |
| 10 | 10 | 76/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 85/1 |
| 12 | 9 | 94/1 |
| 13 | 12 | 106/1 |
| 14 | 10 | 116/1 |
| 15 | 15 | 131/1 |
| 16 | 10 | 141/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 145/1 |
| 18 | 7 | 152/3 |
| 19 | 13 | 165/3 |
| 20 | 13 | 178/4 |
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Callum McLachlan: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.