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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
19 Jul 2024 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Birmingham Bears started on 66%; Birmingham Bears batted first.
Birmingham Bears's chances ranged from 66% to 100% during the match (Leicestershire: 0% to 34%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rishi Patelcaught · Alex Davies · Craig Miles 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Davies · b Craig Miles | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
| Sol Budingercaught · Chris Benjamin · Zakary Foulkes 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Benjamin · b Zakary Foulkes | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 128.57 |
 Rehan Ahmedcaught · George Garton · Craig Miles2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Garton · b Craig Miles | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 200.00 |
 Peter Handscombcaught and bowled · Danny Briggs0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Danny Briggs | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| bowled · b Danny Briggs |
| 35 |
| 24 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 145.83 |
| James Neeshamcaught · Dan Mousley · Danny Briggs 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dan Mousley · b Danny Briggs | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Louis Kimbercaught · Ed Barnard · Jacob Lintott 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ed Barnard · b Jacob Lintott | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Ben Coxcaught · Jacob Lintott · George Garton1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jacob Lintott · b George Garton | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 155.56 |
|---|
 Ben Mikelbw · Jacob Bethell0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jacob Bethell | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Scott Currienot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 11 | 0 | 1 | 109.09 |
|---|
| Josh Hullcaught · Craig Miles · Jacob Bethell 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Craig Miles · b Jacob Bethell | 10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 90.91 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 12.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Craig Miles0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Bethell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Sol Budinger, 1.4) · 2-25 (Rishi Patel, 2.3) · 3-31 (Rehan Ahmed, 3.0) · 4-54 (Peter Handscomb, 6.5) · 5-70 (James Neesham, 8.4) · 6-79 (Louis Kimber, 9.5) · 7-81 (Lewis Goldsworthy, 10.1) · 8-97 (Ben Mike, 12.4) · 9-101 (Ben Cox, 13.4) · 10-122 (Josh Hull, 16.4)
Recorded target: 195 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 24/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 31/3 |
| 4 | 5 | 36/3 |
| 5 | 5 | 41/3 |
| 6 | 10 | 51/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 58/4 |
| 8 | 5 | 63/4 |
| 9 | 8 | 71/5 |
| 10 | 10 | 81/6 |
| 11 | 8 | 89/7 |
| 12 | 6 | 95/7 |
| 13 | 3 | 98/8 |
| 14 | 4 | 102/9 |
| 15 | 7 | 109/9 |
| 16 | 10 | 119/9 |
| 17 | 3 | 122/10 |
Ben Mike: Dave Morton · Public domain
Peter Handscomb: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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