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Photo: user:jguk
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Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
22 May 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographLancashire started on 38%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 0% to 77% during the match (Surrey: 23% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryony Smithcaught · Fi Morris · Grace Potts 10 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Fi Morris · b Grace Potts | 71 | 35 | 10 | 3 | 202.86 |
| Kira Chathlicaught · Kate Cross · Grace Potts 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kate Cross · b Grace Potts | 19 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 172.73 |
| Alice Davidson-Richardsnot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 47* | 31 | 3 | 2 | 151.61 |
| Laura Harriscaught · Tara Norris · Kate Cross 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tara Norris · b Kate Cross | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 183.33 |
| Jemima Spencecaught · Tara Norris · Kate Cross 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tara Norris · b Kate Cross | 31 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 140.91 |
| not out |
| 8* |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 88.89 |
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Potts0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Tara Norris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Kate Cross0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Darcey Carter0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Hannah Jones0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 11.22 | 0 | 0 |
1-37 (Kira Chathli, 4.0) · 2-108 (Bryony Smith, 9.2) · 3-119 (Laura Harris, 10.2) · 4-176 (Jemima Spence, 16.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 37/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 50/1 |
| 6 | 16 | 66/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 78/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 89/1 |
| 9 | 18 | 107/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 113/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 125/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 130/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 138/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 147/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 158/3 |
| 16 | 15 | 173/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 177/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 180/4 |
| 19 | 11 | 191/4 |
Eleanor Threlkeld: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Meg Lanning: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kate Cross: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fi Morris: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Evelyn Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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