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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
24 May 2026 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Birmingham Bears started on 42%; Birmingham Bears batted first.
Birmingham Bears's chances ranged from 0% to 64% during the match (Somerset: 36% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Bantonrun out · Ed Barnard · Ed Barnard 6 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Ed Barnard | 47 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 180.77 |
| Will Smeedcaught · VL Jani · Oliver Hannon-Dalby 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · VL Jani · b Oliver Hannon-Dalby | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| James Rewcaught · Chris Woakes · Usman Tariq 9 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Chris Woakes · b Usman Tariq | 93 | 48 | 9 | 4 | 193.75 |
 Tom Abellnot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 35* | 26 | 3 | 0 | 134.62 |
| Thomas Rewnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Oliver Hannon-Dalby0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 9.30 | 0 | 0 |
 Jordan Thompson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Beau Webster0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Tariq0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Ed Barnard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| TC Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Will Smeed, 3.1) · 2-80 (Tom Banton, 8.2) · 3-187 (James Rew, 17.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 48/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 53/1 |
| 7 | 15 | 68/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 79/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 84/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 95/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 105/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 114/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 124/2 |
| 14 | 20 | 144/2 |
| 15 | 14 | 158/2 |
| 16 | 13 | 171/2 |
| 17 | 13 | 184/2 |
| 18 | 5 | 189/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 193/3 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Oliver Hannon-Dalby: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
