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Scotland tour of Namibia · 2026 · Men
17 Apr 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 39%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 23% to 100% during the match (Namibia: 0% to 77%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louren Steenkamprun out · George Munsey · Michael Leask 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · George Munsey | 25 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 138.89 |
| Jan Frylinckcaught · OGT Gould · Mackenzie Jones 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · OGT Gould · b Mackenzie Jones | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 45.45 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatoncaught · Jack Jarvis · Mackenzie Jones 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Jarvis · b Mackenzie Jones | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 130.00 |
| Gerhard Erasmuscaught · George Munsey · Mackenzie Jones 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · George Munsey · b Mackenzie Jones | 47 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 156.67 |
| A Busing-Volschenklbw · Oliver Davidson 0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Oliver Davidson | 9 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 81.82 |
| JC Baltrun out · OGT Gould, Christopher McBride · Oliver Davidson 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · OGT Gould, Christopher McBride | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmannlbw · Mackenzie Jones 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mackenzie Jones | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| L Bassonnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 15 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Bernard Scholtznot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Leask0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Jarvis0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Safyaan Sharif0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Mackenzie Jones1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Oliver Davidson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-21 (Jan Frylinck, 3.2) · 2-47 (Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton, 6.2) · 3-57 (Louren Steenkamp, 7.3) · 4-95 (A Busing-Volschenk, 11.1) · 5-115 (JC Balt, 15.0) · 6-115 (Gerhard Erasmus, 15.3) · 7-124 (Ruben Trumpelmann, 18.0)
Recorded target: 158 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 47/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 56/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 61/3 |
| 9 | 1 | 62/3 |
| 10 | 11 | 73/3 |
| 11 | 22 | 95/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 99/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 103/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 109/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 115/5 |
| 16 | 0 | 115/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 118/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 124/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 129/7 |
| 20 | 9 | 138/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.