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Photo: NZDF
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
25 Jan 2025 · T20
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
Otago started on 46%; Otago batted first.
Otago's chances ranged from 0% to 57% during the match (Northern Districts: 43% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Phillipscaught · Mitchell Santner · Matthew Fisher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Santner · b Matthew Fisher | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Jamal Toddcaught · Brett Hampton · Neil Wagner 8 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Brett Hampton · b Neil Wagner | 75 | 55 | 8 | 2 | 136.36 |
| Llew Johnsonrun out · Matthew Fisher · Matthew Fisher 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Matthew Fisher | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Jeet Raval · Brett Hampton 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jeet Raval · b Brett Hampton | 35 | 33 | 1 | 2 | 106.06 |
| Dean Foxcroftcaught · Mitchell Santner · Freddy Walker 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Santner · b Freddy Walker | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
 Max Chucaught · Jeet Raval · Kris Clarke0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jeet Raval · b Kris Clarke | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Luke Georgesonnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Ben Lockrosecaught · Ben Pomare · Kris Clarke 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Pomare · b Kris Clarke | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Andrew Hazeldinenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Clarke0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Fisher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Neil Wagner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Freddy Walker0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Brett Hampton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-28 (Dale Phillips, 3.3) · 2-33 (Llew Johnson, 4.0) · 3-112 (Glenn Phillips, 14.3) · 4-124 (Dean Foxcroft, 16.5) · 5-124 (Jamal Todd, 17.1) · 6-130 (Max Chu, 18.1) · 7-130 (Ben Lockrose, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 25/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 36/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 43/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 46/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 57/2 |
| 10 | 13 | 70/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 74/2 |
| 12 | 15 | 89/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 98/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 107/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 115/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 121/3 |
| 17 | 3 | 124/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 130/5 |
| 19 | 7 | 137/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 143/7 |
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Neil Wagner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Georgeson: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Pomare: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brett Hampton: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
