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Photo: NZDF
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
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Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
25 Jan 2025 · T20
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
Otago started on 46%; Otago batted first.
Otago's chances ranged from 0% to 57% during the match (Northern Districts: 43% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katene Clarkestumped · Max Chu · Glenn Phillips 2 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Max Chu · b Glenn Phillips | 32 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 91.43 |
| Joe Cartercaught · Dean Foxcroft · Andrew Hazeldine 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dean Foxcroft · b Andrew Hazeldine | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Ben Pomarecaught · Dean Foxcroft · Matthew Bacon1 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Dean Foxcroft · b Matthew Bacon | 29 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 193.33 |
| Robert O'Donnellcaught · Max Chu · Jacob Duffy 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Max Chu · b Jacob Duffy | 39 | 32 | 1 | 3 | 121.88 |
| Mitchell Santnercaught · Dale Phillips · Jacob Duffy1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Dale Phillips · b Jacob Duffy |
| 4 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
 Brett Hamptoncaught · Luke Georgeson · Andrew Hazeldine0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Luke Georgeson · b Andrew Hazeldine | 16 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Jeet Ravalnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 6* | 4 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Kris Clarkenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacob Duffy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Hazeldine0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 12.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Matthew Bacon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Lockrose0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Glenn Phillips0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Luke Georgeson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Dean Foxcroft0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-4 (Joe Carter, 1.1) · 2-38 (Ben Pomare, 4.2) · 3-107 (Robert O'Donnell, 13.2) · 4-112 (Mitchell Santner, 14.0) · 5-134 (Brett Hampton, 16.0) · 6-135 (Katene Clarke, 16.1)
Recorded target: 144 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 15 | 37/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 49/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 59/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 70/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 76/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 86/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 97/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 106/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 112/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 123/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 134/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 142/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 146/6 |
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Neil Wagner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Georgeson: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Pomare: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brett Hampton: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
