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Photo: Maghan mal
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West Indies Women tour of Pakistan · 2024 · Women
2 May 2024 · T20
National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 71%; West Indies batted first.
West Indies's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Pakistan: 28% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayesha Zafarnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 42* | 48 | 3 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Sidra Ameencaught · Shemaine Campbelle · Shamilia Connell 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shemaine Campbelle · b Shamilia Connell | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Muneeba Alistumped · Shemaine Campbelle · Afy Fletcher 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Shemaine Campbelle · b Afy Fletcher | 8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 53.33 |
| Gull Ferozanot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 21* | 24 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls |
|---|
| WD |
|---|
| NB |
|---|
| Kate Wilmott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hayley Matthews0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Shamilia Connell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Alleyne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Afy Fletcher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Qiana Joseph0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Karishma Ramharack0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jannillea Glasgow0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Sidra Ameen, 3.3) · 2-41 (Muneeba Ali, 7.3)
Recorded target: 85 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 25/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 37/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 39/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 41/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 45/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 49/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 53/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 56/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 62/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 70/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 74/2 |
| 16 | 7 | 81/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 87/2 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shamilia Connell: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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