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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
14 Sept 2024 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographSurrey started on 47%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 0% to 78% during the match (Somerset: 23% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Kohler-Cadmorelbw · Daniel Worrall0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Daniel Worrall | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Will Smeedcaught · Jamie Smith · Daniel Worrall 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Daniel Worrall | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Tom Abellcaught · Ollie Pope · Tom Curran1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Tom Curran | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
| James Rewnot out 5 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 62* | 44 | 5 | 3 | 140.91 |
 |
| caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Jordan Clark |
| 78 |
| 57 |
| 8 |
| 3 |
| 136.84 |
 Lewis Gregorynot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 6* | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Worrall1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Jordan Clark0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.82 | 0 | 2 |
| Cameron Steel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Lawrence0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 0.1) · 2-7 (Tom Abell, 1.3) · 3-7 (Will Smeed, 2.1) · 4-151 (Sean Dickson, 18.3)
Recorded target: 154 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/2 |
| 3 | 1 | 8/3 |
| 4 | 6 | 14/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 20/3 |
| 6 | 9 | 29/3 |
| 7 | 8 | 37/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 46/3 |
| 9 | 17 | 63/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 71/3 |
| 11 | 18 | 89/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 100/3 |
| 13 | 13 | 113/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 120/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 128/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 135/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 139/3 |
| 18 | 12 | 151/3 |
| 19 | 8 | 159/4 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rory Burns: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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