OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
8 May 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 18%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryansh Sharmacaught · Jasper John Davidson · Jack Jarvis 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jasper John Davidson · b Jack Jarvis | 56 | 57 | 6 | 1 | 98.25 |
| Sagar Kalyanbowled · Mark Watt 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mark Watt | 19 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Asif Khancaught · Charlie Cassell · Michael Leask 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Charlie Cassell · b Michael Leask | 23 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 58.97 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Matty Cross · Jasper John Davidson 9 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Matty Cross · b Jasper John Davidson | 101 | 94 | 9 | 2 | 107.45 |
 Alishan Sharafubowled · Brandon McMullen1 fours · 2 sixes |
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 17% to 100% during the match (Scotland: 0% to 83%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Brandon McMullen |
| 32 |
| 41 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 78.05 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · CN Greaves · Charlie Cassell 0 fours · 4 sixes | caught · CN Greaves · b Charlie Cassell | 41 | 28 | 0 | 4 | 146.43 |
|---|
| D Parasharnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 8* | 2 | 0 | 1 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Junaid Siddiquenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon McMullen1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 45 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jasper John Davidson0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 59 | 1 | 5.90 | 4 | 0 |
 Mark Watt0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Charlie Cassell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 58 | 1 | 9.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Leask1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 30 | 1 | 4.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Jarvis0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-59 (Sagar Kalyan, 11.3) · 2-102 (Aryansh Sharma, 20.4) · 3-114 (Asif Khan, 25.5) · 4-187 (Alishan Sharafu, 39.0) · 5-285 (Waseem Muhammad, 48.5) · 6-293 (Rahul Chopra, 49.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 21/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 31/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 33/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 40/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 46/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 51/0 |
| 11 | 8 | 59/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 61/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 67/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 71/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 74/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 76/1 |
| 17 | 7 | 83/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 86/1 |
| 19 | 6 | 92/1 |
| 20 | 9 | 101/1 |
| 21 | 2 | 103/2 |
| 22 | 1 | 104/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 107/2 |
| 24 | 6 | 113/2 |
| 25 | 1 | 114/2 |
| 26 | 0 | 114/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 117/3 |
| 28 | 8 | 125/3 |
| 29 | 3 | 128/3 |
| 30 | 7 | 135/3 |
| 31 | 3 | 138/3 |
| 32 | 2 | 140/3 |
| 33 | 4 | 144/3 |
| 34 | 4 | 148/3 |
| 35 | 10 | 158/3 |
| 36 | 8 | 166/3 |
| 37 | 2 | 168/3 |
| 38 | 10 | 178/3 |
| 39 | 9 | 187/4 |
| 40 | 14 | 201/4 |
| 41 | 5 | 206/4 |
| 42 | 3 | 209/4 |
| 43 | 7 | 216/4 |
| 44 | 6 | 222/4 |
| 45 | 9 | 231/4 |
| 46 | 7 | 238/4 |
| 47 | 18 | 256/4 |
| 48 | 14 | 270/4 |
| 49 | 21 | 291/5 |
| 50 | 5 | 296/6 |
Mark Watt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
