Royal Challengers BengaluruversusRajasthan Royals

10 Apr 2026 · T20

Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Rajasthan Royals won by 6 wickets

Royal Challengers Bengaluru20.0 overs201/8 Rajasthan Royals18.0 overs202/4 Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Royal Challengers Bengaluru started on 56%; Royal Challengers Bengaluru batted first.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s chance of winning (%) · Rajasthan Royals is the rest

Royal Challengers Bengaluru's chances ranged from 0% to 75% during the match (Rajasthan Royals: 25% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.1: JC Archer to PD Salt, PD Salt out. Rajasthan Royals up from 43% to 60%.
6.2: Ravi Bishnoi to KH Pandya, KH Pandya out. Rajasthan Royals up from 47% to 63%.
8.4: Brijesh Sharma to JM Sharma, JM Sharma out. Rajasthan Royals up from 56% to 72%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru201/8 Rajasthan Royals202/4

Innings 1