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Netherlands Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2024 · Women
16 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 47%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Netherlands: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iris Zwillingbowled · Nayma Sheikh 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nayma Sheikh | 23 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 63.89 |
| Sterre Kalisbowled · Olivia Bell 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Olivia Bell | 20 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Babette de Leedelbw · Nayma Sheikh 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nayma Sheikh | 17 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 94.44 |
| Robine Rijkestumped · Ellen Watson · Nayma Sheikh 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ellen Watson · b Nayma Sheikh | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| P Molkenboercaught · Abbi Aitken · Nayma Sheikh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abbi Aitken · b Nayma Sheikh | 11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| caught · Maryam Faisal · b Chloe Abel |
| 15 |
| 13 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 115.38 |
| Eva Lynchbowled · Olivia Bell 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Olivia Bell | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 142.86 |
|---|
| Caroline de Langecaught · Ellen Watson · Chloe Abel 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ellen Watson · b Chloe Abel | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Annemijn van Beugenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Hannah Landheerbowled · Priyanaz Chatterji 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Priyanaz Chatterji | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Bell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Priyanaz Chatterji0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Chloe Abel0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 4.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Darcey Carter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Nayma Sheikh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-34 (Sterre Kalis, 5.5) · 2-60 (Iris Zwilling, 11.2) · 3-62 (Robine Rijke, 11.5) · 4-71 (Babette de Leede, 13.4) · 5-83 (P Molkenboer, 15.2) · 6-97 (Eva Lynch, 17.1) · 7-105 (Frederique Overdijk, 18.2) · 8-110 (Caroline de Lange, 19.0) · 9-118 (Hannah Landheer, 20.0)
Recorded target: 146 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 34/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 45/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 50/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 53/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 59/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 63/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 68/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 73/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 82/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 84/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 97/5 |
| 18 | 4 | 101/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 110/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 118/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.