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Photo: Mattinbgn ( talk · contribs )
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Women's Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Women
27 Nov 2025 · T20
Junction Oval, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Renegades started on 53%; Melbourne Renegades batted first.
Melbourne Renegades's chances ranged from 0% to 62% during the match (Perth Scorchers: 39% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Beth Mooneystumped · Nicole Faltum · Alice Capsey4 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Nicole Faltum · b Alice Capsey | 41 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 132.26 |
 Sophie Devinecaught · Georgia Wareham · Sarah Coyte6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Georgia Wareham · b Sarah Coyte | 46 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 191.67 |
 Katie Macklbw · Alice Capsey0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Alice Capsey | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 77.78 |
 Maddy Darkebowled · Georgia Wareham1 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Georgia Wareham |
| 15 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 107.14 |
| Freya Kempnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 18* | 14 | 1 | 1 | 128.57 |
|---|
 Paige Scholfieldcaught and bowled · Alice Capsey0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Alice Capsey | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Chloe Ainsworthlbw · Alice Capsey0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Alice Capsey | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Lilly Millsnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 16 | 2 | 0 | 93.75 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Charis Bekker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Issy Wong0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Milly Illingworth0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Sophie Molineux0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 9.27 | 1 | 0 |
 Georgia Wareham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Sarah Coyte0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Alice Capsey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Deandra Dottin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-57 (Sophie Devine, 5.4) · 2-80 (Katie Mack, 8.5) · 3-116 (Maddy Darke, 12.5) · 4-116 (Beth Mooney, 13.1) · 5-116 (Paige Scholfield, 13.3) · 6-118 (Chloe Ainsworth, 14.0)
Recorded target: 151 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 26/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 36/0 |
| 4 | 15 | 51/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 55/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 57/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 64/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 73/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 81/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 89/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 96/2 |
| 12 | 14 | 110/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 116/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 118/6 |
| 15 | 10 | 128/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 132/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 140/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 147/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 151/6 |
Georgia Wareham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charis Bekker: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sarah Coyte: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Maddy Darke: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Molineux: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beth Mooney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Edgar: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chloe Ainsworth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Devine: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Courtney Webb: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nicole Faltum: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lilly Mills: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alice Capsey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Katie Mack: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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