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Nordic T20 Cup · 2025 · Men
14 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Denmark more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Denmark started on 55%; Denmark batted first.
Denmark's chances ranged from 39% to 100% during the match (Sweden: 0% to 61%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Mundracaught · Eshan Karimi · Shakeel Zeb 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eshan Karimi · b Shakeel Zeb | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Imal Zuwakrun out · Lucky Ali · Eshan Karimi 3 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Lucky Ali | 26 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 123.81 |
| Awais Ahmadcaught · Shangeev Thanikaithasan · Saif Ahmad 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Shangeev Thanikaithasan · b Saif Ahmad | 26 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 130.00 |
| Saeed Ahmed (2)bowled · Eshan Karimi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Eshan Karimi | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| J Stanigzerun out · Shangeev Thanikaithasan · Saud Munir 0 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Shangeev Thanikaithasan | 16 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 133.33 |
| caught · Abdul Hashmi · b Delawar Khan |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Samiullah Rahmanistumped · Abdul Hashmi · Eshan Karimi 4 fours · 4 sixes | stumped · Abdul Hashmi · b Eshan Karimi | 50 | 33 | 4 | 4 | 151.52 |
|---|
| Khalid Zahidcaught · Musa Shaheen · Saif Ahmad 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Musa Shaheen · b Saif Ahmad | 10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 90.91 |
|---|
| Abdul Naser Baluchcaught · Shangeev Thanikaithasan · Shakeel Zeb 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shangeev Thanikaithasan · b Shakeel Zeb | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 160.00 |
|---|
| A Dhabenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Syed Ali Gillaninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delawar Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Shakeel Zeb0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Eshan Karimi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Saud Munir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Saif Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (A Mundra, 2.0) · 2-43 (Imal Zuwak, 6.1) · 3-44 (Saeed Ahmed (2), 6.3) · 4-69 (J Stanigze, 10.0) · 5-69 (Hamid Mahmood, 10.1) · 6-77 (Awais Ahmad, 11.1) · 7-95 (Khalid Zahid, 14.0) · 8-105 (Abdul Naser Baluch, 15.0) · 9-147 (Samiullah Rahmani, 19.5)
Recorded target: 167 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 21/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 28/1 |
| 6 | 15 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 44/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 50/3 |
| 9 | 14 | 64/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 69/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 77/5 |
| 12 | 8 | 85/6 |
| 13 | 8 | 93/6 |
| 14 | 2 | 95/7 |
| 15 | 10 | 105/8 |
| 16 | 5 | 110/8 |
| 17 | 11 | 121/8 |
| 18 | 9 | 130/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 137/8 |
| 20 | 11 | 148/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.