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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
10 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Israel started on 45%; Israel batted first.
Israel's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Austria: 51% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Solomoncaught · Abrar Bilal · Waqar Zalmai 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abrar Bilal · b Waqar Zalmai | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| WSLK Narayanabowled · Waqar Zalmai 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Waqar Zalmai | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
| S Bangerabowled · Abdullah Akbarjan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abdullah Akbarjan | 12 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
| LSP Siriwardenecaught · Karanbir Singh · Waqar Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karanbir Singh · b Waqar Zalmai | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Yair Nagavkarcaught · Abrar Bilal · Aqib Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abrar Bilal · b Aqib Iqbal | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| caught · Abdullah Akbarjan · b Imran Asif |
| 42 |
| 37 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 113.51 |
| Niv Nagavkarbowled · Bilal Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bilal Zalmai | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| E Bhonkarlbw · Abdullah Akbarjan 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Abdullah Akbarjan | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Y Divekarcaught · Karanbir Singh · Abdullah Akbarjan 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Karanbir Singh · b Abdullah Akbarjan | 11 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Virendra Kumarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Elan Talkernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Waqar Zalmai1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 2.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Imran Asif0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdullah Akbarjan0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Itibarshah Deedar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (E Solomon, 1.5) · 2-13 (WSLK Narayana, 3.4) · 3-18 (LSP Siriwardene, 5.2) · 4-24 (Yair Nagavkar, 7.0) · 5-52 (S Bangera, 11.2) · 6-60 (Niv Nagavkar, 13.0) · 7-69 (E Bhonkar, 15.4) · 8-82 (Y Divekar, 17.5) · 9-103 (J Evans, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 13/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 18/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 20/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 24/4 |
| 8 | 7 | 31/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 36/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 43/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 52/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 58/5 |
| 13 | 2 | 60/6 |
| 14 | 4 | 64/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 68/6 |
| 16 | 2 | 70/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 73/7 |
| 18 | 9 | 82/8 |
| 19 | 20 | 102/8 |
| 20 | 5 | 107/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.