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Pakistan tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
3 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 72%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 63% to 100% during the match (West Indies: 0% to 37%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Andrewcaught · Hasan Ali · Haris Rauf 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hasan Ali · b Haris Rauf | 24 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Alick Athanazecaught · Khushdil Shah · Saim Ayub 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Khushdil Shah · b Saim Ayub | 60 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 150.00 |
 Shai Hopecaught · Saim Ayub · Mohammad Nawaz0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saim Ayub · b Mohammad Nawaz | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Sherfane Rutherfordcaught · Sahibzada Farhan · Hasan Ali 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Sahibzada Farhan · b Hasan Ali | 51 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 145.71 |
 |
| retired out |
| 15 |
| 12 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 125.00 |
 Jason Holderbowled · Sufyan Moqeem0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sufyan Moqeem | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Romario Shepherdnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Gudakesh Motienot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 10* | 4 | 1 | 1 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 12.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohammad Nawaz0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Haris Rauf0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Fahim Ashraf0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Saim Ayub0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Sufyan Moqeem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-44 (J Andrew, 4.2) · 2-74 (Shai Hope, 8.2) · 3-110 (Alick Athanaze, 13.0) · 4-149 (Roston Chase, 17.0) · 5-149 (Jason Holder, 17.2) · 6-166 (Sherfane Rutherford, 19.2)
Recorded target: 190 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16/0 |
| 2 | 17 | 33/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 38/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 42/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 50/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 59/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 65/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 73/1 |
| 9 | 10 | 83/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 90/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 98/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 101/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 110/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 117/3 |
| 15 | 13 | 130/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 141/3 |
| 17 | 8 | 149/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 152/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 165/5 |
| 20 | 11 | 176/6 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
