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Zimbabwe Women tour of Pakistan · 2026 · Women
12 May 2026 · T20
National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photographRecorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 65%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 66% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 34%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelis Ndhlovucaught · Amber Kainat · Sadia Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amber Kainat · b Sadia Iqbal | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| NL Mtombacaught · Sadia Iqbal · Rameen Shamim 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sadia Iqbal · b Rameen Shamim | 24 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 120.00 |
| B Bizacaught · Muneeba Ali · Fatima Sana 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muneeba Ali · b Fatima Sana | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 142.86 |
| Kelly Ndirayabowled · Fatima Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fatima Sana | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| R Pasipanodyarun out · Ayesha Zafar · Amber Kainat 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ayesha Zafar | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Nashra Sandhu · b Fatima Sana |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| A Zimunurun out · Ayesha Zafar · Sadia Iqbal 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ayesha Zafar | 18 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 52.94 |
|---|
| M Mavungacaught · Tuba Hassan · Natalia Pervaiz 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tuba Hassan · b Natalia Pervaiz | 8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 53.33 |
|---|
| Nomvelo Sibandabowled · Natalia Pervaiz 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Natalia Pervaiz | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| L Mabherocaught · Natalia Pervaiz · Sadia Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Natalia Pervaiz · b Sadia Iqbal | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
 Precious Marangenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Sana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Sadia Iqbal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 4.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Amber Kainat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tuba Hassan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Rameen Shamim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Saira Jabeen0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 8 | 0 |
| Natalia Pervaiz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 1.2) · 2-14 (B Biza, 2.4) · 3-14 (Kelly Ndiraya, 2.5) · 4-15 (R Pasipanodya, 3.5) · 5-16 (VM Mutungwindu, 4.3) · 6-46 (NL Mtomba, 9.1) · 7-76 (A Zimunu, 14.2) · 8-80 (M Mavunga, 16.0) · 9-84 (Nomvelo Sibanda, 18.0) · 10-84 (L Mabhero, 18.2)
Recorded target: 238 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 14/3 |
| 4 | 1 | 15/4 |
| 5 | 2 | 17/5 |
| 6 | 13 | 30/5 |
| 7 | 2 | 32/5 |
| 8 | 9 | 41/5 |
| 9 | 5 | 46/5 |
| 10 | 4 | 50/6 |
| 11 | 7 | 57/6 |
| 12 | 5 | 62/6 |
| 13 | 3 | 65/6 |
| 14 | 10 | 75/6 |
| 15 | 2 | 77/7 |
| 16 | 3 | 80/8 |
| 17 | 3 | 83/8 |
| 18 | 1 | 84/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 84/10 |
Precious Marange: Foreign and Commonwealth Office · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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