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Japan Twenty20 Tri-Series · 2025 · Men
7 May 2025 · T20
Sano International Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Cook Islands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Thailand started on 42%; Thailand batted first.
Thailand's chances ranged from 0% to 50% during the match (Cook Islands: 50% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akshaykumar Yadavcaught · HB Dickson · MJM Kavana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · HB Dickson · b MJM Kavana | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Chaloemwong Chatphaisancaught · C Dickson · A Parima 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · C Dickson · b A Parima | 46 | 36 | 1 | 3 | 127.78 |
| S Desungnoencaught · C Dickson · A Parima 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · C Dickson · b A Parima | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 72.73 |
| Austin Lazaruscaught · A Parima · OE Taylor 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Parima · b OE Taylor | 13 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 81.25 |
| Jandre Coetzeecaught · HB Dickson · JL Tutty 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · HB Dickson · b JL Tutty | 31 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 119.23 |
| N Salekarbowled · HB Dickson 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b HB Dickson |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Mukesh Thakurcaught · OE Taylor · HB Dickson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · OE Taylor · b HB Dickson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Phanuphong Thongsanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 63.64 |
|---|
| Nopphon Senamontreenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HB Dickson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ma'ava Ave0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| JL Tutty0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 4 | 0 |
| MJM Kavana0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 1 |
| A Parima0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 14.00 | 0 | 1 |
| OE Taylor0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
1-15 (Akshaykumar Yadav, 3.1) · 2-60 (S Desungnoen, 8.0) · 3-66 (Chaloemwong Chatphaisan, 9.1) · 4-94 (Austin Lazarus, 14.2) · 5-102 (N Salekar, 16.2) · 6-102 (Mukesh Thakur, 16.3) · 7-112 (Jandre Coetzee, 17.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 21/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 26/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 33/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 40/1 |
| 8 | 20 | 60/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 66/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 74/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 79/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 83/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 89/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 94/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 98/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 102/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 111/6 |
| 18 | 3 | 114/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 120/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 124/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.