Lahore QalandarsversusIslamabad United

9 Apr 2026 · T20

National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Islamabad United won by 9 wickets

Lahore Qalandars18.3 overs100/10 Islamabad United10.2 overs104/1 National Stadium, Karachi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lahore Qalandars started on 46%; Lahore Qalandars batted first.

Lahore Qalandars’s chance of winning (%) · Islamabad United is the rest

Lahore Qalandars's chances ranged from 0% to 47% during the match (Islamabad United: 53% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.2: Imad Wasim to Muhammad Naeem, Muhammad Naeem out. Islamabad United up from 53% to 68%.
4.3: Imad Wasim to Abdullah Shafique, Abdullah Shafique out. Islamabad United up from 61% to 71%.
8.1: Shadab Khan to RA Herman, RA Herman out. Islamabad United up from 80% to 87%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lahore Qalandars100/10 Islamabad United104/1

Innings 1