DenmarkversusSwitzerland

27 Jun 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Denmark won by 44 runs

Denmark20.0 overs114/6 Switzerland14.3 overs70/10 Albertslund Cricket Club ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Too close to call

51%Denmark49%Switzerland

Why

Denmark are playing at home in Denmark
On results in T20 internationals so far, Switzerland rate stronger than Denmark (1,425 vs 1,395 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Denmark started on 48%; Denmark batted first.

Denmark’s chance of winning (%) · Switzerland is the rest

Denmark's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Switzerland: 0% to 72%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 4.2: D Golechha to Amrita Sasidharan, Amrita Sasidharan out. Denmark up from 39% to 54%.
2nd inns 4.3: D Golechha to Natalie Clarke, Natalie Clarke out. Denmark up from 54% to 76%.
2nd inns 6.5: NP Dalgaard to D Medagoda, D Medagoda out. Denmark up from 67% to 90%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Denmark114/6 Switzerland70/10

Innings 2

Switzerland

70/1014.3 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Switzerland batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Amrita Sasidharanbowled · D Golechha 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b D Golechha	10	14	0	0	71.43
S Divyabowled · D Golechha 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b D Golechha	1	2	0	0	50.00
Vani Dhanukacaught · AB Slebsager · C Ostergaard 2 fours · 0 sixes	caught · AB Slebsager · b C Ostergaard	13	11	2	0	118.18
D Medagodabowled · NP Dalgaard 1 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b NP Dalgaard	6	10	1	0	60.00
N Clarkebowled · D Golechha 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b D Golechha	0	1	0	0	0.00
S Dabholkatrrun out · AB Slebsager · AB Slebsager0 fours · 0 sixes

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
D Golechha0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls	3.3	15	3	4.29	0	1
C Ostergaard0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	14	1	7.00	2	0
AB Slebsager0 maidens · 3 wides · 2 no-balls	3.0	20	0	6.67	3	2
NP Dalgaard0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	13	3	3.25	4	0
L Ostergaard0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls	2.0	7	1	3.50	2	2

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	6	6/1
2	5	11/1
3	7	18/1
4	9	27/2
5	1	28/4
6	5	33/4
7	4	37/5
8	6	43/5
9	4	47/6
10	9	56/7
11	3	59/7
12	3	62/7
13	2	64/8
14	5	69/9
15	1	70/10

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