Quetta GladiatorsversusIslamabad United

7 May 2025 · T20

Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Quetta Gladiators won by 109 runs

Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs263/3 Islamabad United19.3 overs154/10 Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Quetta Gladiators started on 44%; Quetta Gladiators batted first.

Quetta Gladiators’s chance of winning (%) · Islamabad United is the rest

Quetta Gladiators's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Islamabad United: 0% to 57%).

Biggest swings

2.4: BJ Dwarshuis to FH Allen, FH Allen out. Islamabad United up from 46% to 57%.
3.2: JO Holder to RR Rossouw, six by RR Rossouw. Quetta Gladiators up from 45% to 51%.
5.4: Naseem Shah to Saud Shakeel, Saud Shakeel out. Islamabad United up from 39% to 49%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Quetta Gladiators263/3 Islamabad United154/10

Innings 1