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Budapest Cup · 2025 · Men
26 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Austria started on 87%; Austria batted first.
Austria's chances ranged from 88% to 100% during the match (Luxembourg: 0% to 12%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karanbir Singhcaught · Timothy C. Barker · S Vats 4 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Timothy C. Barker · b S Vats | 55 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 239.13 |
| Bilal Zalmaicaught · Kamal Soukhiya · G Venkateswaran 6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Kamal Soukhiya · b G Venkateswaran | 52 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 226.09 |
| Zeshan Arifcaught · Timothy C. Barker · V Vijh 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Timothy C. Barker · b V Vijh | 21 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 140.00 |
| Aqib Iqbalcaught · SKS Gill · G Venkateswaran 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · SKS Gill · b G Venkateswaran | 11 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 122.22 |
| Baseer Khannot out 2 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 45* | 21 | 2 | 4 | 214.29 |
| caught · Timothy C. Barker · b S Vats |
| 23 |
| 15 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 153.33 |
| Hamid Saficaught · Timothy C. Barker · S Vats 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Timothy C. Barker · b S Vats | 16 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 266.67 |
|---|
| Mansoor Saficaught · Anoop Orsu · Kamal Soukhiya 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Anoop Orsu · b Kamal Soukhiya | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 180.00 |
|---|
| Waqar Zalmainot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamal Soukhiya0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 12.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Milad Momend0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mayank Nagayach0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| S Vats0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 54 | 3 | 18.00 | 2 | 0 |
| G Venkateswaran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 2 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
| V Vijh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-73 (Karanbir Singh, 5.3) · 2-125 (Bilal Zalmai, 9.2) · 3-137 (Zeshan Arif, 11.0) · 4-145 (Aqib Iqbal, 11.4) · 5-183 (Amar Naeem, 15.5) · 6-211 (Hamid Safi, 17.3) · 7-227 (Mansoor Safi, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 48/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 60/0 |
| 6 | 24 | 84/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 91/1 |
| 8 | 13 | 104/1 |
| 9 | 20 | 124/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 133/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 137/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 146/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 150/4 |
| 14 | 17 | 167/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 175/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 185/5 |
| 17 | 14 | 199/5 |
| 18 | 20 | 219/6 |
| 19 | 11 | 230/7 |
| 20 | 15 | 245/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.