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Photo: user:jguk
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Jul 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 46%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Somerset: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Lewis Goldsworthy | 57 | 37 | 6 | 3 | 154.05 |
| Ryan Patelstumped · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · Jack Leach 1 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · b Jack Leach | 23 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 127.78 |
3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Abell · b Jack Leach | 32 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 145.45 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · b Lewis Goldsworthy | 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Will Smeed · b Migael Pretorius | 32 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 200.00 |
|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Dickson · b Ben Green | 19 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 126.67 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 7 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 1 | 2 | |
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 2 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 2 | |
| Lewis Goldsworthy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-62 (Ryan Patel, 6.2) · 2-111 (Will Jacks, 11.5) · 3-111 (Sam Curran, 12.0) · 4-127 (Jason Roy, 13.0) · 5-175 (Tom Curran, 17.1) · 6-187 (Daniel Lawrence, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 18 | 40/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 46/0 |
| 6 | 15 | 61/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 71/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 77/1 |
| 9 | 10 | 87/1 |
| 10 | 10 | 97/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 104/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 111/3 |
| 13 | 16 | 127/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 133/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 144/4 |
| 16 | 16 | 160/4 |
| 17 | 15 | 175/4 |
| 18 | 7 | 182/5 |
| 19 | 6 | 188/6 |
| 20 | 13 | 201/6 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Jack Leach: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Foakes: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Migael Pretorius: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.