**Newlands, Cape Town**
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SA20 · 2023/24 · Men

Sunrisers Eastern CapeversusDurban's Super Giants

10 Feb 2024 · T20

Newlands, Cape Town · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Eastern Cape won by 89 runs

Sunrisers Eastern Cape20.0 overs204/3 Durban's Super Giants17.0 overs115/10 Newlands, Cape Town ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Eastern Cape started on 52%; Sunrisers Eastern Cape batted first.

Sunrisers Eastern Cape’s chance of winning (%) · Durban's Super Giants is the rest

Sunrisers Eastern Cape's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Durban's Super Giants: 0% to 53%).

Biggest swings

1.4: RJW Topley to DJ Malan, DJ Malan out. Durban's Super Giants up from 39% to 50%.
10.5: KA Maharaj to TB Abell, TB Abell out. Durban's Super Giants up from 23% to 28%.
2nd inns 2.2: DJ Worrall to Q de Kock, Q de Kock out. Sunrisers Eastern Cape up from 85% to 90%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Eastern Cape204/3 Durban's Super Giants115/10

Innings 1