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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
15 Jul 2026 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographYorkshire started on 43%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 10% to 100% during the match (Somerset: 0% to 90%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smeedcaught · Moeen Ali · George Hill 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Moeen Ali · b George Hill | 21 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 123.53 |
| Thomas Rewcaught · Logan van Beek · George Hill 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Logan van Beek · b George Hill | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Tom Bantoncaught · Adam Lyth · Andrew Tye 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adam Lyth · b Andrew Tye | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| James Rewcaught · Dominic Bess · Hasan Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dominic Bess · b Hasan Ali | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Logan van Beek |
| 2 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 25.00 |
| Lewis Goldsworthycaught · George Hill · Matt Revis 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · George Hill · b Matt Revis | 19 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 105.56 |
|---|
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Tye · b Hasan Ali | 22 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 104.76 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Tye · b Logan van Beek | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
8 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 79* | 30 | 8 | 5 | 263.33 |
|---|
| Riley Meredithnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 | |
| 3.5 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.74 | 2 | 0 | |
| Logan van Beek0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 2 | 0 |
1-8 (Thomas Rew, 1.1) · 2-18 (Tom Banton, 2.5) · 3-26 (James Rew, 4.4) · 4-28 (Will Smeed, 5.3) · 5-38 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 8.1) · 6-58 (Lewis Goldsworthy, 10.5) · 7-59 (Daniel Sams, 11.5) · 8-82 (Lewis Gregory, 14.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 18/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 21/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 26/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 29/4 |
| 7 | 7 | 36/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 38/4 |
| 9 | 7 | 45/5 |
| 10 | 4 | 49/5 |
| 11 | 9 | 58/6 |
| 12 | 2 | 60/7 |
| 13 | 7 | 67/7 |
| 14 | 13 | 80/7 |
| 15 | 6 | 86/8 |
| 16 | 10 | 96/8 |
| 17 | 15 | 111/8 |
| 18 | 12 | 123/8 |
| 19 | 17 | 140/8 |
| 20 | 22 | 162/8 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
George Hill: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.