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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
5 Jul 2024 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 54%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 50% to 100% during the match (Worcestershire: 0% to 51%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett D'Oliveiracaught · Ollie Robinson · Bas de Leede 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Bas de Leede | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Kashif Alibowled · Ben Raine3 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Ben Raine | 45 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 180.00 |
 Josh Cobbbowled · Ben Dwarshuis5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ben Dwarshuis | 39 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 134.48 |
 Adam Hosecaught · Colin Ackermann · Nathan Sowter0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Colin Ackermann · b Nathan Sowter | 7 | 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 77.78 |
| Ethan Brookescaught · Ashton Turner · Nathan Sowter 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Nathan Sowter | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
 Gareth Roderickcaught · Bas de Leede · Ben Raine2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Bas de Leede · b Ben Raine | 18 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Ed Pollocknot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Matthew Waitecaught · Colin Ackermann · Bas de Leede1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Colin Ackermann · b Bas de Leede | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Tom Taylorcaught · Bas de Leede · Ben Raine 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bas de Leede · b Ben Raine | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Hayden Walsh, Jr.caught · Bas de Leede · Ben Dwarshuis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bas de Leede · b Ben Dwarshuis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Adam Finchcaught · Ollie Robinson · Ben Dwarshuis1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Ben Dwarshuis | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Ben Dwarshuis0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 9.13 | 1 | 0 |
 Bas de Leede0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Raine0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Brett D'Oliveira, 3.2) · 2-84 (Kashif Ali, 9.2) · 3-96 (Adam Hose, 11.3) · 4-118 (Ethan Brookes, 13.5) · 5-131 (Josh Cobb, 15.4) · 6-143 (Gareth Roderick, 16.4) · 7-154 (Matthew Waite, 17.5) · 8-161 (Tom Taylor, 18.5) · 9-164 (Hayden Walsh, Jr., 19.2) · 10-168 (Adam Finch, 19.5)
Recorded target: 191 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 40/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 54/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 63/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 67/1 |
| 9 | 15 | 82/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 89/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 94/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 101/3 |
| 13 | 13 | 114/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 119/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 122/4 |
| 16 | 14 | 136/5 |
| 17 | 12 | 148/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 155/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 163/8 |
| 20 | 5 | 168/10 |
Kashif Ali: @Ahtasham.135 · CC BY 3.0
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Waite: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Cobb: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ed Pollock: Dave Morton · Public domain
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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