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India Women tour of England · 2025 · Women
4 Jul 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographEngland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
England started on 57%; England batted first.
England's chances ranged from 11% to 90% during the match (India: 11% to 89%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sophia Dunkleycaught and bowled · Deepti Sharma7 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Deepti Sharma | 75 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 141.51 |
 Danielle Wyattcaught · Harmanpreet Kaur · Arundhati Reddy7 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Harmanpreet Kaur · b Arundhati Reddy | 66 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 157.14 |
 Alice Capseycaught · Shree Charani · Arundhati Reddy0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shree Charani · b Arundhati Reddy | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Paige Scholfield |
| stumped · Richa Ghosh · b Shree Charani |
| 4 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
 Amy Joneslbw · Arundhati Reddy0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Arundhati Reddy | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Tammy Beaumontbowled · Radha Yadav0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Radha Yadav | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Sophie Ecclestonecaught and bowled · Deepti Sharma0 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Deepti Sharma | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Issy Wongcaught · Richa Ghosh · Shree Charani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Richa Ghosh · b Shree Charani | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Charlie Deannot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 300.00 |
|---|
 Lauren Filercaught · Smriti Mandhana · Deepti Sharma0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smriti Mandhana · b Deepti Sharma | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Lauren Bellnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanjot Kaur0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Arundhati Reddy0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Shree Charani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Radha Yadav0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sneh Rana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-137 (Sophia Dunkley, 15.2) · 2-146 (Alice Capsey, 16.1) · 3-149 (Danielle Wyatt, 16.5) · 4-149 (Amy Jones, 17.0) · 5-152 (Tammy Beaumont, 17.5) · 6-162 (Paige Scholfield, 18.4) · 7-162 (Issy Wong, 18.5) · 8-168 (Sophie Ecclestone, 19.1) · 9-168 (Lauren Filer, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 34/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 44/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 50/0 |
| 8 | 11 | 61/0 |
| 9 | 10 | 71/0 |
| 10 | 11 | 82/0 |
| 11 | 9 | 91/0 |
| 12 | 9 | 100/0 |
| 13 | 15 | 115/0 |
| 14 | 11 | 126/0 |
| 15 | 10 | 136/0 |
| 16 | 10 | 146/1 |
| 17 | 3 | 149/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 153/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 166/7 |
| 20 | 5 | 171/9 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Dunkley: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Radha Yadav: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shafali Verma: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Alice Capsey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Lauren Bell: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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