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Indonesia tour of Malaysia · 2026 · Men
4 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 90%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 90% to 100% during the match (Indonesia: 0% to 10%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Haziq Aimancaught · Danilson Hawoe · Kadek Gamantika 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Danilson Hawoe · b Kadek Gamantika | 45 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 150.00 |
| Aslam Khancaught · Kadek Gamantika · F Banunaek 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kadek Gamantika · b F Banunaek | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 171.43 |
| Muhammad Amirrun out · Anjar Tadarus · Gede Arta 2 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Anjar Tadarus | 46 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 139.39 |
| Virandeep Singhcaught · Ketut Artawan · Gede Arta 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ketut Artawan · b Gede Arta | 10 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 76.92 |
| Syed Azizcaught · AA Rahayu · Danilson Hawoe 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · AA Rahayu · b Danilson Hawoe | 36 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 189.47 |
| Ahmed Aqeelnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 14 | 1 | 0 | 142.86 |
|---|
| Sharvin Muniandynot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 10* | 5 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F Banunaek0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Danilson Hawoe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Anjar Tadarus0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Gede Priandana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kadek Gamantika0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Gede Arta0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ketut Artawan0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 1 |
1-21 (Aslam Khan, 2.4) · 2-88 (Muhammad Haziq Aiman, 9.2) · 3-105 (Virandeep Singh, 12.4) · 4-119 (Muhammad Amir, 14.4) · 5-167 (Syed Aziz, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 45/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 53/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 65/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 74/1 |
| 9 | 13 | 87/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 91/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 98/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 104/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 106/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 109/3 |
| 15 | 15 | 124/4 |
| 16 | 14 | 138/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 148/4 |
| 18 | 19 | 167/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 173/5 |
| 20 | 13 | 186/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.