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Photo: user:jguk
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
11 Jul 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographGlamorgan started on 34%; Glamorgan batted first.
Glamorgan's chances ranged from 4% to 97% during the match (Surrey: 3% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Adam Zampa | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 112.50 |
| William Smalerun out · Jason Roy · Will Jacks 5 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Jason Roy | 37 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 217.65 |
| Alex Hortoncaught · Jason Roy · Chris Jordan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Chris Jordan | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| BI Kellawaycaught · Jamie Overton · Sam Curran 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Sam Curran | 22 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 129.41 |
| Colin Ingramcaught · Nathan Smith · Sam Curran 5 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b Sam Curran |
| 33 |
| 5 |
| 5 |
| 209.09 |
| Asa Tribenot out 5 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 56* | 30 | 5 | 3 | 186.67 |
|---|
| Daniel Douthwaitebowled · Adam Zampa 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Adam Zampa | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 12.25 | 1 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 3 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-46 (William Smale, 3.3) · 2-55 (Alex Horton, 4.3) · 3-78 (Kiran Carlson, 7.5) · 4-108 (BI Kellaway, 10.1) · 5-213 (Colin Ingram, 18.4) · 6-214 (Daniel Douthwaite, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 28/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 43/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 51/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 59/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 66/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 75/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 78/3 |
| 9 | 15 | 93/3 |
| 10 | 15 | 108/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 111/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 115/4 |
| 13 | 13 | 128/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 140/4 |
| 15 | 13 | 153/4 |
| 16 | 17 | 170/4 |
| 17 | 21 | 191/4 |
| 18 | 15 | 206/4 |
| 19 | 8 | 214/5 |
| 20 | 8 | 222/6 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie McIlroy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.