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Photo: user:jguk
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
11 Jul 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographGlamorgan started on 34%; Glamorgan batted first.
Glamorgan's chances ranged from 4% to 97% during the match (Surrey: 3% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jacksrun out · Kiran Carlson · Daniel Douthwaite2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Kiran Carlson | 31 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 147.62 |
| Ryan Patelbowled · Imad Wasim 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Imad Wasim | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Jason Roycaught · Daniel Douthwaite · Ned Leonard1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Douthwaite · b Ned Leonard | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
 Sam Currancaught · Alex Horton · Ned Leonard0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Horton · b Ned Leonard | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 62.50 |
 Daniel Lawrencenot out12 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 120* | 54 | 12 | 5 | 222.22 |
|---|
 Tom Currannot out2 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 49* | 27 | 2 | 3 | 181.48 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Imad Wasim0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Ned Leonard0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 0 | 2 |
 Jamie McIlroy0 maidens · 4 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 13.25 | 4 | 2 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 11.75 | 0 | 2 |
| Andy Gorvin0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 14.21 | 2 | 0 |
1-1 (Ryan Patel, 0.3) · 2-6 (Jason Roy, 1.4) · 3-16 (Sam Curran, 3.4) · 4-78 (Will Jacks, 9.1)
Recorded target: 223 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/2 |
| 3 | 7 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 19/3 |
| 5 | 19 | 38/3 |
| 6 | 12 | 50/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 59/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 68/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 78/3 |
| 10 | 11 | 89/4 |
| 11 | 17 | 106/4 |
| 12 | 19 | 125/4 |
| 13 | 17 | 142/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 154/4 |
| 15 | 12 | 166/4 |
| 16 | 14 | 180/4 |
| 17 | 14 | 194/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 203/4 |
| 19 | 15 | 218/4 |
| 20 | 6 | 224/4 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie McIlroy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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