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Asian Cricket Council Women's Premier Cup · 2023/24 · Women
16 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Nepal more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nepal started on 55%; Nepal batted first.
Nepal's chances ranged from 15% to 90% during the match (Malaysia: 10% to 86%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Kunwarrun out · Winifred Duraisingam · Mas Elysa 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Winifred Duraisingam | 23 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 74.19 |
 Sita Rana Magarlbw · Mahirah Ismail0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mahirah Ismail | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
| I Barmastumped · Wan Julia · Winifred Duraisingam 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Wan Julia · b Winifred Duraisingam | 29 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 78.38 |
 Rubina Chhetricaught · Winifred Duraisingam · Mahirah Ismail2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Winifred Duraisingam · b Mahirah Ismail | 20 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| run out · Mahirah Ismail |
| 25 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 178.57 |
 Kabita Joshirun out · Aisya Eleesa · Mas Elysa0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Aisya Eleesa | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| K Shresthanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ainna Hamizah Hashim1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Mahirah Ismail0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Winifred Duraisingam0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Nur Dania Syuhada0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Aisya Eleesa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mas Elysa0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 3 | 0 |
1-10 (Sita Rana Magar, 4.0) · 2-45 (K Kunwar, 10.1) · 3-78 (Rubina Chhetri, 15.2) · 4-99 (I Barma, 18.0) · 5-113 (Kabita Joshi, 19.5) · 6-115 (Dolly Bhatta, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 10/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 15/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 18/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 22/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 28/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 37/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 45/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 46/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 50/2 |
| 13 | 15 | 65/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 73/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 78/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 80/3 |
| 17 | 15 | 95/3 |
| 18 | 4 | 99/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 105/4 |
| 20 | 10 | 115/6 |
Kabita Joshi: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Elsa Hunter: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Sita Rana Magar: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rubina Chhetri: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Bindu Rawal: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
