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South Africa tour of India · 2025/26 · Men
14 Nov 2025 · Test
Eden Gardens, Kolkata · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aiden Markramcaught · Rishabh Pant · Jasprit Bumrah5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Jasprit Bumrah | 31 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 64.58 |
 Ryan Rickeltonbowled · Jasprit Bumrah4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 23 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 104.55 |
 Wiaan Mulderlbw · Kuldeep Yadav3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kuldeep Yadav | 24 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 47.06 |
| caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Kuldeep Yadav |
| 3 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 27.27 |
| Tony de Zorzilbw · Jasprit Bumrah 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Jasprit Bumrah | 24 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 43.64 |
|---|
| Tristan Stubbsnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 74 | 1 | 0 | 20.27 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnelbw · Mohammed Siraj 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammed Siraj | 16 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
 Marco Jansenbowled · Mohammed Siraj0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Siraj | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Corbin Boschlbw · Axar Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Axar Patel | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 13.04 |
|---|
 Simon Harmerbowled · Jasprit Bumrah1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Keshav Maharajlbw · Jasprit Bumrah0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jasprit Bumrah | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah5 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 14.0 | 5 | 27 | 5 | 1.93 | 1 | 1 |
 Mohammed Siraj0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 0 | 47 | 2 | 3.92 | 1 | 0 |
 Axar Patel2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Kuldeep Yadav1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 1 | 36 | 2 | 2.57 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1.63 | 0 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-57 (Ryan Rickelton, 10.3) · 2-62 (Aiden Markram, 12.1) · 3-71 (Temba Bavuma, 16.0) · 4-114 (Wiaan Mulder, 29.5) · 5-120 (Tony de Zorzi, 32.3) · 6-146 (Kyle Verreynne, 44.1) · 7-147 (Marco Jansen, 44.4) · 8-154 (Corbin Bosch, 52.0) · 9-159 (Simon Harmer, 54.3) · 10-159 (Keshav Maharaj, 55.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 17/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 31/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 31/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 40/0 |
| 9 | 7 | 47/0 |
| 10 | 10 | 57/0 |
| 11 | 0 | 57/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 62/1 |
| 13 | 0 | 62/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 66/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 69/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 71/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 75/3 |
| 18 | 7 | 82/3 |
| 19 | 2 | 84/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 86/3 |
| 21 | 1 | 87/3 |
| 22 | 7 | 94/3 |
| 23 | 3 | 97/3 |
| 24 | 2 | 99/3 |
| 25 | 1 | 100/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 102/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 105/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 106/3 |
| 29 | 5 | 111/3 |
| 30 | 3 | 114/4 |
| 31 | 3 | 117/4 |
| 32 | 2 | 119/4 |
| 33 | 2 | 121/5 |
| 34 | 4 | 125/5 |
| 35 | 4 | 129/5 |
| 36 | 1 | 130/5 |
| 37 | 1 | 131/5 |
| 38 | 0 | 131/5 |
| 39 | 5 | 136/5 |
| 40 | 0 | 136/5 |
| 41 | 2 | 138/5 |
| 42 | 4 | 142/5 |
| 43 | 2 | 144/5 |
| 44 | 2 | 146/5 |
| 45 | 1 | 147/7 |
| 46 | 1 | 148/7 |
| 47 | 1 | 149/7 |
| 48 | 2 | 151/7 |
| 49 | 2 | 153/7 |
| 50 | 0 | 153/7 |
| 51 | 1 | 154/7 |
| 52 | 0 | 154/8 |
| 53 | 0 | 154/8 |
| 54 | 1 | 155/8 |
| 55 | 4 | 159/10 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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