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Photo: Marajozkee
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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South Africa tour of India · 2025/26 · Men
14 Nov 2025 · Test
Eden Gardens, Kolkata · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
On 14 Nov 2025, South Africa played India at Eden Gardens, Kolkata. Recorded result: South Africa won by 30 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.