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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A · 2026 · Men
23 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Switzerland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malta started on 41%; Malta batted first.
Malta's chances ranged from 2% to 53% during the match (Switzerland: 48% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mehboob Alicaught · Arjun Vinod · Jai Sinh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arjun Vinod · b Jai Sinh | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Mohammed Qasimcaught · NK Aneesh Kumar · Ashwin Vinod 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · NK Aneesh Kumar · b Ashwin Vinod | 29 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 126.09 |
| P Pushparajanbowled · NK Aneesh Kumar 0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b NK Aneesh Kumar | 26 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 108.33 |
| Jaspal Singhbowled · Ashwin Vinod 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ashwin Vinod | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Flynn Zahracaught · H Deshan · Ashwin Vinod 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Deshan · b Ashwin Vinod | 8 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
| caught · Jai Sinh · b Musa Khan Ahmadzai |
| 12 |
| 12 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Micheal Dasbowled · Musa Khan Ahmadzai 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Musa Khan Ahmadzai | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 116.67 |
|---|
| SB Patelcaught · Ashwin Vinod · Sheraz Sirwari 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashwin Vinod · b Sheraz Sirwari | 21 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 123.53 |
|---|
| Ajin Somancaught · Ahmed Hassan · Sheraz Sirwari 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ahmed Hassan · b Sheraz Sirwari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 220.00 |
|---|
| Imran Ameernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Jaswinder Singhrun out · Ashwin Vinod, Sheraz Sirwari · Sheraz Sirwari 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ashwin Vinod, Sheraz Sirwari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheraz Sirwari0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jai Sinh0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Ashwin Vinod0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.25 | 3 | 0 |
| NK Aneesh Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Musa Khan Ahmadzai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| H Deshan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Mehboob Ali, 1.2) · 2-45 (Mohammed Qasim, 6.1) · 3-48 (Jaspal Singh, 6.5) · 4-63 (Flynn Zahra, 10.4) · 5-81 (P Pushparajan, 13.2) · 6-87 (Muhammad Ajmal, 14.1) · 7-125 (Micheal Das, 18.1) · 8-136 (Ajin Soman, 19.2) · 9-137 (SB Patel, 19.4) · 10-139 (Jaswinder Singh, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 45/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 49/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 50/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 58/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 62/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 64/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 71/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 75/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 87/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 96/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 100/6 |
| 17 | 11 | 111/6 |
| 18 | 14 | 125/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 130/7 |
| 20 | 9 | 139/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.