MaltaversusSwitzerland

Switzerland more likely to win

Why

• In the last 4 T20 internationals between these sides, Switzerland won 3 and Malta won 1
• On results in T20 internationals so far, Malta rate stronger than Switzerland (1,466 vs 1,453 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

Malta started on 41%; Malta batted first.

Malta's chances ranged from 2% to 53% during the match (Switzerland: 48% to 98%).

Biggest swings

1. 2nd inns 15.3: P Pushparajan to Ahmed Hassan, Ahmed Hassan out. Malta up from 20% to 37%.
2. 2nd inns 18.6: Mehboob Ali to Ashwin Vinod, Ashwin Vinod out. Malta up from 14% to 31%.
3. 2nd inns 19.1: Ajin Soman to H Deshan, six by H Deshan. Switzerland up from 69% to 98%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.