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Pearl of Africa T20I Series · 2025 · Men
26 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 88%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 79% to 100% during the match (Nigeria: 0% to 21%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Chilemanyabowled · Haider Ali 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Haider Ali | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54.55 |
| Sulaimon Runsewelbw · Haider Ali 2 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Haider Ali | 21 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 95.45 |
| Isaac Danladicaught · D Parashar · Haider Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Parashar · b Haider Ali | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| O Olaleyecaught · Matiullah Khan · D Parashar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matiullah Khan · b D Parashar | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| AE Iseselecaught · Muhammad Zohaib · Ethan Carl D'Souza 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Zohaib · b Ethan Carl D'Souza | 9 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| bowled · b Haider Ali |
| 24 |
| 17 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 141.18 |
| AA Jimohstumped · Rahul Chopra · Muhammad Zohaib 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Rahul Chopra · b Muhammad Zohaib | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| P Usenicaught · Akif Raja · Ethan Carl D'Souza 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Akif Raja · b Ethan Carl D'Souza | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Sylvester Okpecaught · Aryansh Sharma · Ethan Carl D'Souza 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aryansh Sharma · b Ethan Carl D'Souza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Isaac Okpecaught · Waseem Muhammad · Ethan Carl D'Souza 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Ethan Carl D'Souza | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
|---|
| Peter Ahonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akif Raja0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Matiullah Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Haider Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Zohaib0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Carl D'Souza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 3.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (S Chilemanya, 5.2) · 2-30 (Sulaimon Runsewe, 5.4) · 3-33 (Isaac Danladi, 7.3) · 4-35 (O Olaleye, 8.2) · 5-67 (David Ankrah, 13.0) · 6-69 (AE Isesele, 13.4) · 7-77 (AA Jimoh, 15.0) · 8-77 (P Useni, 15.1) · 9-80 (Sylvester Okpe, 15.5) · 10-88 (Isaac Okpe, 18.5)
Recorded target: 142 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 25/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 30/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 33/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 35/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 40/4 |
| 10 | 1 | 41/4 |
| 11 | 14 | 55/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 62/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 67/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 71/6 |
| 15 | 6 | 77/7 |
| 16 | 4 | 81/9 |
| 17 | 3 | 84/9 |
| 18 | 3 | 87/9 |
| 19 | 1 | 88/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.