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Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
14 Jan 2025 · T20
Bellerive Oval, Hobart · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Renegades started on 36%; Melbourne Renegades batted first.
Melbourne Renegades's chances ranged from 4% to 63% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 37% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Owenrun out · Tim Seifert, Will Sutherland · C Stow 2 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Tim Seifert, Will Sutherland | 24 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 171.43 |
| Caleb Jewellbowled · Fergus O'Neill 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fergus O'Neill | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Charlie Wakimcaught · Tom Rogers · Jacob Bethell 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Rogers · b Jacob Bethell | 12 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Nikhil Chaudharycaught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · Tom Rogers 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · b Tom Rogers | 36 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 133.33 |
| Jake Doranbowled · C Stow 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b C Stow | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
 Matthew Wadecaught · Marcus Harris · Jacob Bethell5 fours · 1 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Marcus Harris · b Jacob Bethell |
| 36 |
| 23 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 156.52 |
| Tim Davidnot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 24* | 15 | 2 | 1 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Ellisnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Bethell0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 9.67 | 5 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Fergus O'Neill0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| C Stow0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Caleb Jewell, 2.5) · 2-36 (Mitchell Owen, 4.1) · 3-50 (Charlie Wakim, 7.1) · 4-63 (Jake Doran, 9.0) · 5-101 (Nikhil Chaudhary, 13.5) · 6-131 (Matthew Wade, 16.1)
Recorded target: 155 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 17/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 36/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 42/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 45/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 59/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 63/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 66/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 72/4 |
| 12 | 11 | 83/4 |
| 13 | 12 | 95/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 105/5 |
| 15 | 18 | 123/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 131/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 134/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 138/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 147/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 155/6 |
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Harris: Dave Morton · Public domain
Billy Stanlake: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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