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Photo: Amuzujoe
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
African Games · 2023/24 · Men
17 Mar 2024 · T20
Achimota Senior Secondary School A Field, Accra · Venue photographRecorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 25%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 22% to 100% during the match (Namibia: 0% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Trevor Gwandu · b Owen Muzondo | 46 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Niko Davinbowled · Owen Muzondo 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Owen Muzondo | 37 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 112.12 |
| Jean-Pierre Kotzelbw · Tashinga Musekiwa 0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Tashinga Musekiwa | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 110.00 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatoncaught · Rodney Mupfudza · Tony Munyonga 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rodney Mupfudza · b Tony Munyonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| GJ van Rensburgcaught · Johnathan Campbell · Takudzwa Chataira 1 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Johnathan Campbell · b Takudzwa Chataira |
| 32 |
| 27 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 118.52 |
| JC Baltcaught · Brian Bennett · Owen Muzondo 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Owen Muzondo | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| DO Leicherstumped · Rodney Mupfudza · Tashinga Musekiwa 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Rodney Mupfudza · b Tashinga Musekiwa | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 107.69 |
|---|
| Shaun Fouchécaught · Johnathan Campbell · Tashinga Musekiwa 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Johnathan Campbell · b Tashinga Musekiwa | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| SPS Shikongonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Jack Brassellnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallace Mubayiwa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Takudzwa Chataira0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Owen Muzondo0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Trevor Gwandu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tashinga Musekiwa0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 1 | 1 |
| Tony Munyonga0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-73 (Malan Kruger, 7.0) · 2-88 (Jean-Pierre Kotze, 9.3) · 3-100 (Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton, 10.4) · 4-107 (Niko Davin, 12.1) · 5-117 (JC Balt, 14.2) · 6-152 (DO Leicher, 18.3) · 7-155 (Shaun Fouché, 19.0) · 8-159 (GJ van Rensburg, 19.2)
Recorded target: 198 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 42/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 48/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 60/0 |
| 7 | 13 | 73/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 83/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 87/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 94/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 102/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 107/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 112/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 116/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 122/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 127/5 |
| 17 | 14 | 141/5 |
| 18 | 7 | 148/5 |
| 19 | 7 | 155/7 |
| 20 | 7 | 162/8 |
Johnathan Campbell: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Clive Madande: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Shikongo: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rodney Mupfudza: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.