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Photo: Electricmaster
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
19 Jan 2025 · T20
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 40%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 32% to 100% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 0% to 68%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harperlbw · Nikhil Chaudhary 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nikhil Chaudhary | 23 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 121.05 |
| Tom Rogerscaught · Ben McDermott · Nathan Ellis 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben McDermott · b Nathan Ellis | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
 Beau Webstercaught · Chris Jordan · Mitchell Owen4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Chris Jordan · b Mitchell Owen | 51 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 164.52 |
 Marcus Stoiniscaught · Caleb Jewell · Marcus Bean4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Caleb Jewell · b Marcus Bean | 32 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 168.42 |
| not out |
| 76* |
| 32 |
| 5 |
| 6 |
| 237.50 |
| Hilton Cartwrightrun out · Matthew Wade · Chris Jordan 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Matthew Wade | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 216.67 |
|---|
 Tom Currannot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim David0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Bean0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Cameron Gannon0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan Ellis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Owen0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 11.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Nikhil Chaudhary0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 12.33 | 6 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-30 (Tom Rogers, 3.5) · 2-36 (Sam Harper, 5.2) · 3-81 (Marcus Stoinis, 10.4) · 4-151 (Beau Webster, 15.4) · 5-178 (Hilton Cartwright, 17.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 46/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 54/2 |
| 9 | 12 | 66/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 75/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 83/3 |
| 12 | 19 | 102/3 |
| 13 | 16 | 118/3 |
| 14 | 10 | 128/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 136/3 |
| 16 | 16 | 152/4 |
| 17 | 23 | 175/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 181/5 |
| 19 | 24 | 205/5 |
| 20 | 14 | 219/5 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Mark Steketee: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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