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Photo: Electricmaster
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Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
19 Jan 2025 · T20
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 40%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 32% to 100% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 0% to 68%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Jewellcaught · Marcus Stoinis · Mark Steketee 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marcus Stoinis · b Mark Steketee | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Mitchell Owencaught · Glenn Maxwell · Tom Curran 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Tom Curran | 38 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 223.53 |
| Charlie Wakimcaught · Hilton Cartwright · Mark Steketee 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b Mark Steketee | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ben McDermottlbw · Mark Steketee 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mark Steketee | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Nikhil Chaudharycaught and bowled · Usama Mir 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Usama Mir | 27 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 168.75 |
 Matthew Wadecaught · Hilton Cartwright · Marcus Stoinis1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b Marcus Stoinis | 21 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 110.53 |
|---|
| Tim Davidcaught · Glenn Maxwell · Usama Mir 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Usama Mir | 27 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Chris Jordanbowled · Joel Paris0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Joel Paris | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Cameron Gannoncaught · Mark Steketee · Joel Paris 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mark Steketee · b Joel Paris | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Elliscaught · Glenn Maxwell · Mark Steketee 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Mark Steketee | 40 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 181.82 |
|---|
| Marcus Beannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Paris0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Mark Steketee0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 24 | 4 | 6.86 | 1 | 0 |
 Peter Siddle0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 14.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Usama Mir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Glenn Maxwell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Marcus Stoinis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Caleb Jewell, 1.3) · 2-22 (Charlie Wakim, 1.5) · 3-45 (Ben McDermott, 3.2) · 4-54 (Mitchell Owen, 5.2) · 5-92 (Matthew Wade, 9.5) · 6-100 (Nikhil Chaudhary, 10.3) · 7-123 (Chris Jordan, 13.3) · 8-133 (Tim David, 14.4) · 9-169 (Cameron Gannon, 18.1) · 10-179 (Nathan Ellis, 19.3)
Recorded target: 220 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 17/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 22/2 |
| 3 | 21 | 43/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 47/3 |
| 5 | 7 | 54/3 |
| 6 | 11 | 65/4 |
| 7 | 7 | 72/4 |
| 8 | 9 | 81/4 |
| 9 | 7 | 88/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 92/5 |
| 11 | 11 | 103/6 |
| 12 | 9 | 112/6 |
| 13 | 8 | 120/6 |
| 14 | 8 | 128/7 |
| 15 | 6 | 134/8 |
| 16 | 9 | 143/8 |
| 17 | 14 | 157/8 |
| 18 | 12 | 169/8 |
| 19 | 6 | 175/9 |
| 20 | 4 | 179/10 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Mark Steketee: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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