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Photo: Rae Allen
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
1 Jan 2025 · T20
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 66%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 0% to 83% during the match (Melbourne Stars: 17% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ben Duckettcaught · Tom Banton · Xavier Bartlett0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Banton · b Xavier Bartlett | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Tom Rogerscaught · Tom Banton · Spencer Johnson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Banton · b Spencer Johnson | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Sam Harperbowled · Xavier Bartlett 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Xavier Bartlett | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 72.73 |
 Daniel Lawrencenot out7 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 64* | 38 | 7 | 2 | 168.42 |
 |
| caught · Spencer Johnson · b Xavier Bartlett |
| 62 |
| 48 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 129.17 |
 Glenn Maxwellcaught · Matt Renshaw · Xavier Bartlett0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Renshaw · b Xavier Bartlett | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Hilton Cartwrightnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Spencer Johnson0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 4 | 0 |
 Will Prestwidge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 7.89 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Kuhnemann0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Swepson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Ben Duckett, 0.1) · 2-14 (Sam Harper, 3.0) · 3-14 (Tom Rogers, 3.1) · 4-146 (Marcus Stoinis, 17.1) · 5-146 (Glenn Maxwell, 17.2)
Recorded target: 150 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 15/3 |
| 5 | 11 | 26/3 |
| 6 | 10 | 36/3 |
| 7 | 17 | 53/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 58/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 64/3 |
| 10 | 13 | 77/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 85/3 |
| 12 | 14 | 99/3 |
| 13 | 1 | 100/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 109/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 116/3 |
| 16 | 18 | 134/3 |
| 17 | 12 | 146/3 |
| 18 | 3 | 149/5 |
| 19 | 4 | 153/5 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mark Steketee: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Colin Munro: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Prestwidge: QWisps · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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